Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.038780 0.043965 0.049727 0.056631 0.064710 0.073907 0.085223
2024-10-27 0.029900 0.036531 0.044596 0.055231 0.069040 0.086576 0.110873
2024-11-03 0.025960 0.033392 0.043020 0.056617 0.075675 0.101972 0.141969
2024-11-10 0.023284 0.031189 0.041954 0.058030 0.082037 0.117585 0.176242
2024-11-17 0.020833 0.028836 0.040188 0.057942 0.085911 0.129918 0.207945
2024-11-24 0.018672 0.026563 0.038150 0.057001 0.088112 0.139760 0.237477
2024-12-01 0.017225 0.025138 0.037138 0.057404 0.092376 0.153556 0.277036
2024-12-08 0.015932 0.023784 0.036039 0.057449 0.095934 0.166620 0.318307
2024-12-15 0.014909 0.022733 0.035279 0.057911 0.100222 0.181708 0.367548
2024-12-22 0.013517 0.020950 0.033120 0.055633 0.099043 0.185880 0.393987
2024-12-29 0.013138 0.020790 0.033659 0.058248 0.107621 0.211467 0.477524
2025-01-05 0.012020 0.019283 0.031717 0.055991 0.106079 0.215100 0.507674
2025-01-12 0.011148 0.018186 0.030500 0.055194 0.107914 0.227747 0.569111
2025-01-19 0.010258 0.016996 0.029022 0.053749 0.108258 0.237385 0.627153
2025-01-26 0.009829 0.016584 0.028931 0.055086 0.115020 0.264357 0.748933
2025-02-02 0.009442 0.016209 0.028865 0.056453 0.122108 0.294103 0.894651
2025-02-09 0.008928 0.015549 0.028172 0.056368 0.125671 0.315289 1.021795
2025-02-16 0.008376 0.014772 0.027170 0.055458 0.127002 0.330500 1.134952
2025-02-23 0.008004 0.014311 0.026761 0.055848 0.131795 0.357520 1.312880
2025-03-02 0.007631 0.013817 0.026235 0.055891 0.135676 0.382913 1.500946
2025-03-09 0.007323 0.013429 0.025896 0.056339 0.140788 0.414062 1.739614
2025-03-16 0.006817 0.012603 0.024547 0.054133 0.137863 0.416635 1.833908
2025-03-23 0.006730 0.012628 0.025054 0.056665 0.149531 0.475896 2.293241